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預測 2011 / Forecasts 2011
(中英文雙語版)
作者:雷蒙德 A. 梅里曼(Raymond A. Merriman)/ 黃晨(譯)

FORECASTS 2011
in CHINESE and ENGLISH (New Bilingual Edition)
by Raymond A. Merriman

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MMA's annual Forecast Book, written by Raymond A. Merriman since 1976, is one of the most unique, affordable, and accurate glimpses into the coming year. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this annual Forecasts book outlines forthcoming trends pertaining to political, economic, and financial markets throughout the world. Although 2010 is only a little more than half over, several forecasts made in the 2010 book have been highly accurate. We will list a couple of them below as of early August, but for a more inclusive list, please go to the “Scorecard” of 2010 Forecasts” listed further down on our web site at http://www.mmacycles.com/.

• Treasury Bonds and Notes: “Treasuries topped out in December 2008, but may make a secondary top November 2009-September 2010.” Then they will come down into 2012.” As this is being written in early August 2010, Treasuries are indeed running up again towards their highs of December 2008.

• Swiss Franc and Euro Currency: “… both the Euro and Swiss Franc could fall rather hard against the U.S. Dollar in the first half of 2010, perhaps down to 1.1200-1.2500 in the Euro currency. The critical turning point could occur May-August 2010, when Jupiter and Uranus enter Aries and form a Grand Square to the FRB chart.” Both currencies bottomed in early June as Jupiter and Uranus formed their conjunction in early Aries, with the Euro down to 1.1875.

• Grains: “Geocosmic signatures point to the possibility of extremely dry and hot weather this summer, especially in July-August, with possible drought… If September 2009 completed the 9- and 6-year cycle phases, then a rally is underway that could lift Wheat prices to either 784 +/- 42, or 880 +/- 108.” July and August have coincided with hot and dry weather and a severe drought in Russia’s Wheat growing region. Wheat prices have exploded from a low of 4.25 on June 9 to a high of 8.41/bu. as this is being written in the first half of August.

• The Stock Market: “A 50-week cycle low is due by April 2010, to be followed by a powerful rally into May-August. But danger comes with that rally… The trend for stock prices in 2010 is mostly up. However, it is apt to be a bumpy ride. A 50-week cycle trough is due in the first half of the year, ideally between February and April. A multi-month rally is then expected to unfold...” The 50-week cycle bottomed February 5. Prices then rose sharply into April 26 before falling again into July 2. Since that time, they have rallied sharply again into August 9. They started to decline. It remains to be seen if this rally ends by the end of August and a powerful decline then starts, or has already begun.

• Gold and Silver: “The 8.5-year cycle in Gold bottomed in October 2008. It is therefore pointed higher into 2011-2013 as long as prices do not fall below 800…. A 22-month cycle trough in Gold is due May 2010-January 2011. A decline of $200-300 from the high that precedes it is possible…. Look for a more important 111-week cycle trough in Silver within 19 weeks of December 17, 2010.” Gold made a new all-time high on June 21 at 1270, and Silver did not. It remains to be seen if a significant decline happens in both by January 2011.

And of course: the all-important Critical Reversal Dates. Many of the 2010 critical reversal dates given for various markets have been impressive.* As of August 3, five of seven major reversal dates given for T-Note and T-Bond futures were accurate, including the exact date of the yearly low so far on April 5. The 8th one may be forming now into the August 20 critical reversal zone in effect as this is being written, as T-notes are now making yearly highs and their second highest level since the Great Panic highs of December 2008. Five of the seven critical reversal dates given for stock indices unfolded within only two trading days, including the exact date of the high of the year on April 25 (as of this writing in early August). Gold prices also turned nearby to its critical reversal dates in 6 of the 7 dates listed in this year’s book. All six (100%) of the currency dates hit with strong reversals within 2 trading days or less, including the low of the year on June 7 for the Euro currency. All nine critical reversals given for grains also coincided with powerful reversals within 4 trading days, and 6 of those were within two trading days, including the yearly low in Wheat on June 9. The high of the year was August 6, just 4 days past the August 2 critical reversal date (which was listed as possible as the entire period of July 23-August 9). Likewise all 6 of the critical reversal dates given for Crude Oil were right on the mark (within 5 trading days, and five within 2 trading days), including the low of the year directly on the May 20 reversal date that was listed.
 
Raymond Merriman's books are not available in bookstores; you either have to order directly from MMA, or through EARLTHORN.com.    This is our annual major event!